Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SONGDA-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SONGDA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mongolia, South Korea, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (31 Jul 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.5 m 81 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 86 km/h 0.7 m 378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

86 km/h

Up to 9 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMongolia, South Korea, Japan9,480
+
Mongolia35 
South Korea70 
Japan9,375 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Jul 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Jul 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China, Japan
GREEN 3 29 Jul 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 29 Jul 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China
GREEN 5 30 Jul 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China
GREEN 6 30 Jul 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mongolia, South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines60,379 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Philippines, Vietnam10,958,250
+
Russia42,371 
Japan59,006 
North Korea5,555,173 
South Korea551,640 
Vietnam329,044 
Philippines4,421,014 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia64,121,521
+
China107,628 
Russia205,816 
Japan2,608,027 
North Korea12,276,367 
South Korea10,920,900 
Taiwan4,750,526 
Vietnam2,954,911 
Philippines29,951,703 
Laos332,485 
Thailand2,889 
Cambodia10,263 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Jul 2022 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Jul 2022 06:00 75 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 29 Jul 2022 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Jul 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Jul 2022 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Jul 2022 06:00 353 11 million
- - - China, Russia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC