Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
10 May 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.6 m 293 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.6 m 691 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia174 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 May 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 May 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia89,793 
250-500 mmIndia, Bangladesh4,937,918
+
India1,185,631 
Bangladesh3,752,287 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Indonesia50,778,963
+
China899,671 
India17,122,755 
Myanmar1,924,940 
Bhutan9,474 
Bangladesh27,148,382 
Vietnam139,260 
Laos1,453 
Thailand19,646 
Sri Lanka3,493,225 
Indonesia20,152 
50-100 mmChina, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Indonesia, Malaysia144,650,273
+
China18,124,337 
India56,437,204 
Nepal53,239 
Myanmar4,493,361 
Bhutan58,335 
Bangladesh43,225,994 
Vietnam9,785,955 
Laos804,758 
Thailand2,799,626 
Cambodia142,812 
Sri Lanka8,210,031 
Maldives229,367 
Indonesia284,732 
Malaysia515 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 May 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 07 May 2022 00:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 May 2022 12:00 293 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 12:00 248 -
- - - - - China, Myanmar, Vietnam
Blue 6 09 May 2022 00:00 467 280 thousand
- - - - China, Bangladesh, Laos
Blue 7 09 May 2022 12:00 564 -
- - - - - Bhutan, Myanmar, China, Vietnam
Blue 8 10 May 2022 00:00 276 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh
Blue 9 10 May 2022 12:00 637 55.8 million
- - China, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Indonesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 12:00 UTC