Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000841
Name RICK-21
Glide number: FL-2021-000166-VNM
From - To 22 Oct - 26 Oct
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 740 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (25 Oct 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)


For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS 167 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 173 km/h 0.4 m 857 mm 0.5
GFS 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5
ECMWF 61 km/h 0.5 m 435 mm 0.5
Beta Version - All weather systems in the area: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical cyclone RICK (ECHO 25 Oct 2021)Mon, 25 Oct 2021 12:25

  • Tropical cyclone RICK, formed over the East Pacific on 22 October, is moving northwards towards the eastern coast of central Mexico. On 25 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located about 55 km south of Zihuatanejo City (coastal northern Guerrero City), with maximum sustained winds up to 155 km/h (Cat. 2 Hurricane). 
  • RICK is forecast to make landfall in the midday of 25 October, over an area north of Zihuatanejo City, between the border of Michoacán and Guerrero State, with maximum sustained winds up to 155 km/h. 
  • National authorities have implemented preventive operations ahead of the landfall across Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima States. Minor damage due to strong winds and heavy rain has been reported across coastal Guerrero State.
  • A Hurricane warning is in effect for coastal areas from central Michoacán to the north of Guerrero State and tropical storm warnings have been issued for coastal areas Colima, northern Michoacán and central Guerrero. On 25-26 October, heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge is forecast over eastern States of central Mexico.
Mexico - Tropical cyclone RICK, update (ECHO 26 Oct 2021)Tue, 26 Oct 2021 11:37

  • Tropical cyclone RICK made landfall over the northwestern coast of Guerrero State very close to Guacamayas City as a Category 2 hurricane and continued to north-west weakening and dissipating.
  • According to the Guerrero Civil Protection, 42 families have been evacuated and more than 50 houses have been damaged in the Municipality of Tecpan de Galeana. In addition, media reports power outages across the coastal localities of Guerrero State.
  • Heavy rain with thunderstorms and strong winds are forecast over parts of Michoacán, Guerrero, Jalisco, Colima, Guanajuato, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, San Luis Potosí, Nayarit and Mexico State due to the remnants of RICK.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2022. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
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Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),