Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEVEN-22
Off-shore
16 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEVEN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Dec 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 364 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 79 km/h 0.3 m 364 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen4,636 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Dec 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Dec 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Dec 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Dec 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Dec 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Dec 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Dec 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Dec 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Yemen
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Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmYemen1,561 
50-100 mmYemen54,038 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Dec 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Dec 2022 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Dec 2022 06:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Dec 2022 12:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Dec 2022 18:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Dec 2022 00:00 282 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Dec 2022 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Dec 2022 12:00 246 2 thousand
- - - - Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Maharashtra, Uran, India. This height is estimated for 15/12/2022 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mIran, India29,095
+
Iran2,900 
India26,195 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15/12/2022 11:00 Maharashtra, Uran India  0.1
15/12/2022 07:00 Hormozgan, Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
15/12/2022 13:00 Gujarat, Jafarabad India  0.1
15/12/2022 10:00 Hormozgan, Bandar Suflin Iran  0.1
15/12/2022 09:00 Gujarat, Dharabandar India  0.1
15/12/2022 06:00 Hormozgan, Hormoz Iran  0.0
17/12/2022 21:00 Hormozgan, Bandar-e Band-e Iran  0.0
17/12/2022 20:00 Umm Al-Qaiwain, Umm al Qaywayn United Arab Emirates  0.0
15/12/2022 04:00 , Lakabi Oman  0.0
16/12/2022 15:00 Hormozgan, Qushm Island Qeshm Iran  0.0
15/12/2022 08:00 , Al Wakrah Qatar  0.0
15/12/2022 06:00 Sindh, Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.0
15/12/2022 13:00 Sistan and Baluchestan, Pozm Tiab Iran  0.0
15/12/2022 14:00 Balochistan, Pasni Pakistan  0.0
15/12/2022 00:00 Bushehr, Bibi Khatun Iran
15/12/2022 00:00 Fujairah, Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates
15/12/2022 00:00 Fujairah, Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates
15/12/2022 00:00 Fujairah, Adgat United Arab Emirates
15/12/2022 00:00 Sharjah, Kalba United Arab Emirates
15/12/2022 00:00 , Bu Baqarah Oman
15/12/2022 00:00 , Limah Oman
15/12/2022 00:00 , Dawanij Oman
15/12/2022 00:00 , Abu 'Abali Oman
15/12/2022 00:00 , As Sirab Oman
15/12/2022 00:00 Sistan and Baluchestan, Khowr Rapch Iran
15/12/2022 00:00 Balochistan, Pishukan Pakistan