Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NALGAE-22
in China, Philippines
28 Oct 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NALGAE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan, China, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (31 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 1.4 m 359 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 126 km/h 1.3 m 716 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

126 km/h

Up to 18.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan, China, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau18,246,600
+
Taiwan4,699,026 
China333,236 
Philippines13,195,270 
Micronesia86 
Palau18,981 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Oct 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Oct 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Oct 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Oct 2022 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Oct 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Oct 2022 06:00 119 -
- - - - - Taiwan, China, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPhilippines125,383 
250-500 mmPhilippines, Micronesia9,370,917
+
Philippines9,370,831 
Micronesia86 
100-250 mmTaiwan, Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia49,821,113
+
Taiwan429,637 
Philippines49,344,433 
Malaysia24,276 
Indonesia22,765 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Guam, Micronesia, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia17,445,427
+
Japan59,105 
Taiwan4,840,861 
Philippines10,059,358 
Vietnam255,633 
Guam98,338 
Micronesia7,589 
Malaysia1,675,963 
Brunei259,327 
Indonesia189,249 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Oct 2022 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Oct 2022 06:00 390 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Oct 2022 12:00 345 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 27 Oct 2022 18:00 216 530 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 28 Oct 2022 00:00 231 2 million
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 28 Oct 2022 06:00 639 59.3 million
- - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Guam, Micronesia, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC