Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHT-22
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHT-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.4 m 560 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.4 m 560 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Aug 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Aug 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Aug 2022 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 05 Aug 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMyanmar, Philippines, Cambodia, Thailand6,104,529
+
Myanmar2,571,499 
Thailand21,867 
Philippines3,504,358 
Cambodia6,803 
100-250 mmChina, Myanmar, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Cambodia54,511,914
+
China8,443,505 
Myanmar2,413,752 
Vietnam534,186 
Hong Kong903,314 
Laos663,403 
Thailand5,241,591 
Philippines35,972,976 
Cambodia339,182 
50-100 mmChina, North Korea, South Korea, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Laos, Macao, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia198,133,297
+
China102,846,166 
North Korea3,141,959 
South Korea338,910 
India7,990 
Myanmar4,775,900 
Taiwan1,701,694 
Vietnam22,806,963 
Hong Kong6,423,166 
Laos4,499,128 
Macao579,652 
Thailand14,622,291 
Philippines31,805,549 
Cambodia4,583,923 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 111 Few people
- - - - China, Hong Kong, Myanmar
Blue 2 04 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Aug 2022 12:00 60 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 04 Aug 2022 18:00 66 -
- - - - - China
Blue 5 05 Aug 2022 00:00 467 36 million
- - - China, North Korea, South Korea, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mChina, North Korea, South Korea, Myanmar, Vietnam2,119,340
+
China1,727,231 
North Korea46,883 
South Korea101,098 
Myanmar14,453 
Vietnam229,672 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC