Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DARBY-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARBY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Jul 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.4 m 49 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 340 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Jul 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Jul 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Jul 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Jul 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Jul 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Jul 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 11 Jul 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Jul 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 Jul 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Jul 2022 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 12 Jul 2022 06:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 12 Jul 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Jul 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 13 Jul 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 13 Jul 2022 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 13 Jul 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 13 Jul 2022 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 14 Jul 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 14 Jul 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 14 Jul 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 14 Jul 2022 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 15 Jul 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 15 Jul 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 15 Jul 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 15 Jul 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 16 Jul 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 16 Jul 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 16 Jul 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 16 Jul 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico07 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Jul 2022 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Jul 2022 00:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Jul 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Jul 2022 18:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jul 2022 00:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 11 Jul 2022 06:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Jul 2022 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Jul 2022 18:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Jul 2022 00:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 12 Jul 2022 06:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 12 Jul 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Jul 2022 18:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 13 Jul 2022 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 13 Jul 2022 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 13 Jul 2022 12:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 13 Jul 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 14 Jul 2022 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 14 Jul 2022 06:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 14 Jul 2022 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 14 Jul 2022 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 15 Jul 2022 00:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 15 Jul 2022 06:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 15 Jul 2022 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 15 Jul 2022 18:00 25 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 16 Jul 2022 00:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 16 Jul 2022 06:00 38 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 16 Jul 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 16 Jul 2022 18:00 360 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC