Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
24 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (24 Jun 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 118 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.5 m 665 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 21 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 21 Jun 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 21 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 21 Jun 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 22 Jun 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 22 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 22 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 22 Jun 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 23 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 23 Jun 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 23 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 23 Jun 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 24 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 299 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Nicaragua
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 107 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 179 Few people
- - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 235 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 21 Jun 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 21 Jun 2022 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 21 Jun 2022 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 21 Jun 2022 18:00 524 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 22 Jun 2022 00:00 322 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 22 Jun 2022 06:00 506 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 22 Jun 2022 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 22 Jun 2022 18:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 23 Jun 2022 00:00 238 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 23 Jun 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 23 Jun 2022 12:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 23 Jun 2022 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 24 Jun 2022 00:00 653 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC