Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
23 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.3 m 238 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.5 m 665 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico285 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 21 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 21 Jun 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 21 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 21 Jun 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 22 Jun 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 22 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 22 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 22 Jun 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 23 Jun 2022 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico9,099 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 299 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Nicaragua
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 107 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 179 Few people
- - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 235 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 21 Jun 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 21 Jun 2022 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 21 Jun 2022 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 21 Jun 2022 18:00 524 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 22 Jun 2022 00:00 322 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 22 Jun 2022 06:00 506 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 22 Jun 2022 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 22 Jun 2022 18:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 23 Jun 2022 00:00 462 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 22/06/2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 02:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.3
22/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.3
21/06/2022 03:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
22/06/2022 03:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 03:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
20/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
21/06/2022 23:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
20/06/2022 18:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
22/06/2022 09:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
22/06/2022 12:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
21/06/2022 02:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
20/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
21/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
21/06/2022 20:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
21/06/2022 14:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
22/06/2022 01:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
21/06/2022 17:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 10:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
21/06/2022 05:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 14:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 14:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 14:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 09:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 14:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Natividad Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 22:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 09:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
21/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Madrigal Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Chiriqui, Finca Pino Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guavos Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guabos Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 09:00 Guanacaste, Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Guanacaste, Carrillo Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Esterillos Este Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Chiriqui, Boca Toro Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 09:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 09:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 20:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1