Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
20 Jun 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (20 Jun 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 206 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.5 m 665 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 299 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Nicaragua
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 107 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 179 Few people
- - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 235 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 977 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones, Panama. This height is estimated for 22/06/2022 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 12:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 12:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 12:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 12:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.3
22/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.3
22/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.2
22/06/2022 13:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 13:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
20/06/2022 05:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
20/06/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
20/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
22/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 11:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
22/06/2022 15:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
22/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
20/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
20/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
20/06/2022 23:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
20/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
20/06/2022 10:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.1
20/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
20/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
20/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
21/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
22/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.1
19/06/2022 21:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 21:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 00:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.1
21/06/2022 22:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
20/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.1
21/06/2022 16:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.1
20/06/2022 06:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
22/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.1
22/06/2022 16:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.1
22/06/2022 06:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
22/06/2022 05:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
21/06/2022 22:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
21/06/2022 20:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 04:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 02:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
21/06/2022 20:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.1
21/06/2022 20:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 10:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 10:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 01:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
22/06/2022 06:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 10:00 Puntarenas, Madrigal Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 11:00 Guanacaste, Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Esterillos Este Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 11:00 Chiriqui, Finca Pino Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 11:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guavos Panama  0.1
22/06/2022 11:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guabos Panama  0.1
21/06/2022 22:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
21/06/2022 21:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
21/06/2022 21:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
21/06/2022 22:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
22/06/2022 11:00 Guanacaste, Carrillo Costa Rica  0.1
22/06/2022 09:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1