Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THIRTEEN-22
Off-shore
31 Aug 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THIRTEEN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
Exposed population 100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 205 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 205 km/h n.a. 194 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 220 km/h n.a. 1037 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

220 km/h

Up to 100 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Japan50,189 
CAT. 2Japan3,601 
CAT. 1Japan48,345 
Tropical StormJapan, Taiwan, Philippines4,333,670
+
Japan1,382,690 
Taiwan2,917,438 
Philippines33,540 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Aug 2022 18:00 209 2 thousand - - -
- - Japan
GREEN 2 31 Aug 2022 00:00 209 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 31 Aug 2022 06:00 212 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan, Taiwan58,535
+
Japan57,149 
Taiwan1,386 
100-250 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines11,911,947
+
Japan883,220 
Taiwan7,446,892 
Philippines3,581,835 
50-100 mmJapan, South Korea, China, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia49,238,114
+
Japan18,249,447 
South Korea285,322 
China9,338,824 
Taiwan4,399,803 
Philippines16,894,747 
Micronesia1,038 
Palau2,438 
Malaysia66,492 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Aug 2022 18:00 181 2 thousand -
- - - - Japan
Blue 2 31 Aug 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Aug 2022 06:00 1019 1.4 million
- - - - Japan, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
    

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