Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-22
in Mexico
17 Jul 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Jul 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 151 km/h 0.5 m 150 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 323 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jul 2022 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Jul 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 17 Jul 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

323 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Jul 2022 06:00 275 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Jul 2022 12:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 17 Jul 2022 18:00 330 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2022 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2022 21:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.5
17 Jul 2022 18:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
18 Jul 2022 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.4
18 Jul 2022 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 21:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 22:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 19:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Agua El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Canoguero El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:45 El Cacao El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:45 La Union El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Guerrero El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Mogotillo El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 Murucagua Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Capulin Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Zapote Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 Gualora Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Moray Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:45 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 20:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 23:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Condega Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Buena Vista Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Albania Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:30 El Tambor Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 18:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 18:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:15 La Herradura El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 21:15 El Zapote El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:45 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 22:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 23:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 23:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:00 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 Candelaria Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 Salinas Grandes Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 23:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 23:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 Puerto Somoza Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 San Jose Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 El Amparo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 El Transito Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 20:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:45 Campamento Honduras  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 Poneloya Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 23:45 El Hato Honduras  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 El Puente Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Puerto el Barquito Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Fatima Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 El Realejo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
18 Jul 2022 00:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 20:45 Coronado United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 20:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 20:45 Boal United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 20:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 El Sunzal El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 La Libertad El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:00 San Diego El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
18 Jul 2022 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 El Tinco Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 Salamina Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 San Juan Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 Venecia Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 20:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 Aposentillo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:30 El Fortin Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 The Muirlands United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Roseville United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 Loma Portal United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 19:00 San Diego United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 22:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 21:15 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:15 Arista Mexico  0.1