Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
20 Jun 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Jun 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 65 km/h 0.5 m 213 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.5 m 665 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 299 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Nicaragua
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 107 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 179 Few people
- - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 235 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 727 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Cabo Tepoca, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Jun 2022 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Jun 2022 11:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
20 Jun 2022 11:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.5
20 Jun 2022 11:15 Molino Mexico  0.4
20 Jun 2022 11:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.4
20 Jun 2022 11:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2022 11:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2022 11:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2022 07:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2022 12:00 San Pedro Belize  0.3
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Cuero Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 11:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:45 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:45 Limon Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Liliba Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 10:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:30 Balfate Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:30 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:30 Miranda Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:30 Betulia Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 07:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 07:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 07:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 09:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Los Cayitos Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:15 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:15 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:15 Pital Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:15 Empalme Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:15 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Gales Point Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:30 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:45 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:45 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Utila Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Belize City Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 Baranca Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:15 Limera Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:45 Colorado Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:30 Farallones Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Condega Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Saraguama Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 El Tigre Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 San Juan Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 07:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Victoria Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:15 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:15 Cancun Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:15 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 10:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Corozal Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Chunox Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 12:00 Tela Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 08:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 06:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 11:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
20 Jun 2022 09:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1