Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (27 Oct 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.7 m 58 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico46,492 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 25 Oct 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 25 Oct 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Oct 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Oct 2021 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States54,876 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 249 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 25 Oct 2021 06:00 215 180 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 25 Oct 2021 12:00 81 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 25 Oct 2021 18:00 59 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 26 Oct 2021 00:00 301 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Holly Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2021 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2021 18:30 Holly Beach United States  0.7
27 Oct 2021 18:30 Cameron United States  0.7
27 Oct 2021 18:15 Constance Beach United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 18:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 18:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 18:00 Sabine United States  0.5
27 Oct 2021 18:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.5
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Beach City United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Smith Point United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Oak Island United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Anahuac United States  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 16:45 Cedar Point United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:30 High Island United States  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Palacios United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Collegeport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Simpsonville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:30 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:30 Red Bluff United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:30 Seabrook United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:30 Morgan Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:30 Baytown United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:30 Pelly United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Caplen United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Gilchrist United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 02:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 02:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
28 Oct 2021 21:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Sixmile United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Olivia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Estes United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:45 Lamar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 23:00 El Martillo United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 23:00 Yarborough United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 06:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
28 Oct 2021 20:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Webster United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Kilkare United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Lakeside United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 La Porte United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 El Lago United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Kemah United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Shoreacres United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Todville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Bayview United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Bacliff United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 San Leon United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:30 Flake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:30 Patton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 16:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Texas City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:00 Galveston United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 01:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 01:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 03:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 03:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 06:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
28 Oct 2021 21:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 04:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Hitchcock United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
28 Oct 2021 06:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 06:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:45 Austwell United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 04:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 02:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:30 Indianola United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 04:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 05:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 05:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 08:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 05:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 05:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 05:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 03:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 04:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 16:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 16:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Quintana United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Surfside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Mims United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 05:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 15:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
28 Oct 2021 20:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 01:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 04:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 17:30 Conejo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 12:00 Freeport United States  0.1