Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GEORGETTE-22 Off-shore from 27 Jul 2022 15:00 UTC to 03 Aug 2022 21:00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GEORGETTE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (31 Jul 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	76 km/h	0.4 m	122 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	97 km/h	0.6 m	495 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Jul 2022 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Jul 2022 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jul 2022 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jul 2022 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Jul 2022 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Jul 2022 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Jul 2022 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Jul 2022 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Jul 2022 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	29 Jul 2022 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	30 Jul 2022 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	30 Jul 2022 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Jul 2022 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Jul 2022 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	31 Jul 2022 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	31 Jul 2022 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	31 Jul 2022 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	31 Jul 2022 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

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Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	27 Jul 2022 12:00	235	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Jul 2022 18:00	159	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jul 2022 00:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jul 2022 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Jul 2022 12:00	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Jul 2022 18:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Jul 2022 00:00	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Jul 2022 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Jul 2022 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	29 Jul 2022 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	30 Jul 2022 00:00	184	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	30 Jul 2022 06:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Jul 2022 12:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Jul 2022 18:00	143	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	31 Jul 2022 00:00	127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	31 Jul 2022 06:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	31 Jul 2022 12:00	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	31 Jul 2022 18:00	410	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Santa Marta, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 Jul 2022 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.4
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.4
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 18:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 20:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 21:00	Altata	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 18:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.3
	31 Jul 2022 19:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 20:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 20:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:15	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:30	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 20:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	El Tule	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:15	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:45	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	31 Jul 2022 18:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	31 Jul 2022 19:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	31 Jul 2022 18:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	31 Jul 2022 19:15	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	31 Jul 2022 20:00	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1