Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-22
in Mexico
17 Jul 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Jul 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 140 km/h 0.5 m 275 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 323 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jul 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

323 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Jul 2022 06:00 366 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2022 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2022 10:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.5
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 09:30 La Choya Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 09:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 09:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:45 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Condega Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Albania Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Gualora Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 El Moray Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Buena Vista Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 El Tambor Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Campamento Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Hato Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 11:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Mogotillo El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Cacao El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 La Union El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Murucagua Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Capulin Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Zapote Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 09:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 La Majada Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:00 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:00 El Puente Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:00 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 11:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 11:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 11:45 Venecia Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:45 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Mission United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Montecito United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Summerland United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Rincon United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Shepards United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Punta United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Faria United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Dulah United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Aposentillo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Ventura United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:00 Agua El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:00 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Candelaria Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Salinas Grandes Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Puerto Somoza Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 San Jose Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 El Amparo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 El Transito Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Coromar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Goleta United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 El Sunzal El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 La Libertad El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 San Diego El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 El Fortin Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Surfside United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Poneloya Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Fatima Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 El Realejo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 El Tinco Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Salamina Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Puerto el Barquito Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Naples United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 San Juan Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Capitan United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Lento United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Clifton United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 11:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Newport Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Balboa United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:30 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:30 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Sacate United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:30 El Zapote Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 09:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Top of the World United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 South Laguna United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 San Clemente United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Agra United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 07:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:15 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 San Augustine United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Castellammare United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Santa Monica United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Sawtelle United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Alsace United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 El Segundo United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:45 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:30 Two Harbors United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 10:15 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Las Flores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 08:15 Stuart United States  0.1