Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DARBY-22 Off-shore from 09 Jul 2022 21:00 UTC to 17 Jul 2022 03:00 UTC

14 Jul 2022 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARBY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (14 Jul 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	130 km/h	0.2 m	87 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	340 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	09 Jul 2022 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	10 Jul 2022 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	10 Jul 2022 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 Jul 2022 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Jul 2022 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 Jul 2022 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	11 Jul 2022 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	11 Jul 2022 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	11 Jul 2022 18:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	12 Jul 2022 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	12 Jul 2022 06:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	12 Jul 2022 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	12 Jul 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	13 Jul 2022 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	13 Jul 2022 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	13 Jul 2022 12:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	13 Jul 2022 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	14 Jul 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	14 Jul 2022 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	14 Jul 2022 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

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Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	09 Jul 2022 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	10 Jul 2022 00:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	10 Jul 2022 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 Jul 2022 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Jul 2022 18:00	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 Jul 2022 00:00	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	11 Jul 2022 06:00	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	11 Jul 2022 12:00	128	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	11 Jul 2022 18:00	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	12 Jul 2022 00:00	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	12 Jul 2022 06:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	12 Jul 2022 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	12 Jul 2022 18:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	13 Jul 2022 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	13 Jul 2022 06:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	13 Jul 2022 12:00	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	13 Jul 2022 18:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	14 Jul 2022 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	14 Jul 2022 06:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	14 Jul 2022 12:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Jul 2022 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Jul 2022 13:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	14 Jul 2022 13:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	14 Jul 2022 13:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	14 Jul 2022 13:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	14 Jul 2022 17:15	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	14 Jul 2022 17:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 12:00	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 12:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 13:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 12:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 16:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 12:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 18:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:15	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jul 2022 17:45	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1