Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
19 Jun 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (20 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 179 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.5 m 665 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmGuatemala, Mexico218,893
+
Guatemala116,342 
Mexico102,551 
50-100 mmGuatemala, Mexico610,473
+
Guatemala443,906 
Mexico166,567 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 299 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Nicaragua
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 107 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 636 220 thousand
- - - - Guatemala, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Cuero, Honduras. This height is estimated for 20 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Cuero Honduras  0.3
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.3
20 Jun 2022 00:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.3
20 Jun 2022 00:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.3
19 Jun 2022 23:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 22:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 22:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Victoria Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Balfate Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Miranda Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Betulia Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 22:00 New Haven Belize  0.2
19 Jun 2022 22:00 Monkey River Belize  0.2
19 Jun 2022 22:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Los Cayitos Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 23:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 22:00 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Limon Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Limera Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Saraguama Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 El Tigre Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 San Juan Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Uhi Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 20:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 20:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Santa Fe Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Pital Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Empalme Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Trujillo Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 23:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.2
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Utila Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 San Pedro Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:45 Claura Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Noham Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Colorado Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:30 Gales Point Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:30 Mullins Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:30 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:15 Tela Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:45 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:45 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Salinas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Champoton Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Cancun Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 19:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 23:15 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 20:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 21:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 22:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2022 00:00 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1