Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico
27 May 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (27 May 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 198 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.8 m 704 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 May 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 May 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 May 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmGuatemala, Honduras, Costa Rica287,926
+
Guatemala145,297 
Honduras142,484 
Costa Rica143 
50-100 mmCuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama14,458,430
+
Cuba43,766 
Mexico1,375,054 
Guatemala8,479,327 
Honduras1,255,318 
El Salvador794,811 
Nicaragua862,125 
Costa Rica1,583,036 
Panama64,989 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 May 2022 12:00 487 290 thousand
- - - - Cuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Quebrada Grande, Honduras. This height is estimated for 27 May 2022 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 May 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 May 2022 18:45 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.2
27 May 2022 18:45 Limera Honduras  0.2
27 May 2022 18:45 Balfate Honduras  0.2
27 May 2022 18:45 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.2
27 May 2022 19:30 Ozello United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:30 Weeki Wachee Gardens United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:30 Bayport United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:30 Homosassa United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:30 Chassahowitzka United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:45 Port Inglis United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:45 Yankeetown United States  0.2
27 May 2022 20:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
27 May 2022 20:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
27 May 2022 20:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Shore Acres United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Town 'n' Country United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Apollo Beach United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Palm United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Adamsville United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:15 Gibsonton United States  0.2
27 May 2022 21:30 Sun City United States  0.2
27 May 2022 21:30 Gulf City United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Bahia Shores United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Curlew United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Mecca United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Coachman United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Cross Bayou United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Pasadena United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Kenneth City United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Highpoint United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Bayview United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Gulfport United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Dellwood United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Bridgeport United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Safety Harbor United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Saint Petersburg United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Oldsmar United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Feather Sound United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:45 Rio Vista United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:30 Saint Marks United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:30 Port Leon United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:30 Newport United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:30 Plum Orchard United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:30 Mandalay United States  0.2
28 May 2022 00:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Sumner United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:00 Hudson United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:00 Bayonet Point United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:00 Hernando Beach United States  0.2
27 May 2022 19:00 Aripeka United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Beacon Square United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Gulf Harbors United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 New Port Richey United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Elfers United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 New Port Richey East United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Jasmine Estates United States  0.2
27 May 2022 14:45 Belize City Belize  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Anclote United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Ozona United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Cove Springs United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Palm Harbor United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Tarpon Springs United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Holiday United States  0.2
27 May 2022 18:30 Lake Shore Estates United States  0.2
27 May 2022 20:30 Cedar Key United States  0.2
27 May 2022 22:00 Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Tierra Verde United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Bayway United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Suwannee United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Live Oak Island United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Hyde Park United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Wakulla Beach United States  0.1
28 May 2022 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Fort Lonely United States  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Gillette United States  0.1
27 May 2022 21:30 Valroy United States  0.1
27 May 2022 19:30 Horseshoe Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 19:30 Shired Island United States  0.1
27 May 2022 14:15 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Fish Creek United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Dallus Creek Landing United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Steinhatchee United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Jena United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Miranda Honduras  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 Baranca Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 22:45 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
27 May 2022 17:15 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
27 May 2022 17:15 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
27 May 2022 17:15 Dekle Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 17:15 Keaton Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 21:15 Fort De Soto United States  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Indian Shores United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Redington Shores United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 North Redington Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Redington Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Oakhurst Shores United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Madeira Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Seminole United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Bay Pines United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Treasure Island United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 The Jungle United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Anna Maria United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Terra Mana United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Terra Ceia United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Bradenton United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Memphis United States  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Rubonia United States  0.1
27 May 2022 14:15 Gales Point Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 14:15 Mullins Belize  0.1
28 May 2022 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 18:00 Dunedin United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Holmes Beach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Ilexhurst United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Longbeach United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Cortez United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Palma Sola United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 West Bradenton United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 South Bradenton United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Bayshore Gardens United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Palmetto United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Whitfield United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 West Samoset United States  0.1
27 May 2022 20:45 Tallevast United States  0.1
27 May 2022 17:30 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
27 May 2022 17:30 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
27 May 2022 19:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 23:00 Corozal Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 23:00 Chunox Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 23:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 23:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 22:00 Campeche Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 23:45 New Haven Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Condega Honduras  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Albania Honduras  0.1
28 May 2022 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Betulia Honduras  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 22:30 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
27 May 2022 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1