Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KEVIN-23
in Vanuatu
05 Mar 2023 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KEVIN-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2023-000030-VUT
    Exposed countries Vanuatu
    Exposed population 120 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (03 Mar 14:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 260000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 01 Mar 2023 18:00 148 290 thousand 30 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 2 02 Mar 2023 00:00 167 270 thousand 30 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 3 02 Mar 2023 06:00 167 270 thousand 30 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 4 02 Mar 2023 12:00 157 270 thousand 30 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 5 02 Mar 2023 18:00 167 270 thousand 30 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 6 03 Mar 2023 00:00 176 270 thousand 110 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 7 03 Mar 2023 06:00 176 270 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 8 03 Mar 2023 12:00 167 270 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Red 9 03 Mar 2023 18:00 194 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 10 04 Mar 2023 00:00 241 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 11 04 Mar 2023 06:00 250 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 12 04 Mar 2023 12:00 222 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 13 04 Mar 2023 18:00 194 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 14 05 Mar 2023 00:00 167 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 15 05 Mar 2023 06:00 139 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 16 05 Mar 2023 12:00 111 260 thousand 120 thousand Vanuatu

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Mar 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 16000 people -13.8, 161.9
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Mar 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 92000 people -14.4, 162.8
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Mar 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 230000 people -15.2, 164
          GREEN
          		 4 02 Mar 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 260000 people -16.1, 165.1
          GREEN
          		 5 02 Mar 2023 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 270000 people -16.4, 165.7
          ORANGE
          		 6 03 Mar 2023 00:00 Category 1 148 79000 people 270000 people -16.9, 166.6
          ORANGE
          		 7 03 Mar 2023 06:00 Category 2 157 120000 people 260000 people -17.8, 167.5
          ORANGE
          		 8 03 Mar 2023 12:00 Category 2 167 40000 people 170000 people -18.5, 168.6
          RED
          		 9 03 Mar 2023 18:00 Category 3 194 32000 people 120000 people -19.6, 169.9
          GREEN
          		 10 04 Mar 2023 00:00 Category 4 241 <1000 people 33000 people -21, 171.5
          GREEN
          		 11 04 Mar 2023 06:00 Category 4 250 no people <1000 people -22.3, 173.3
          GREEN
          		 12 04 Mar 2023 12:00 Category 4 222 no people no people -23.5, 175.4
          GREEN
          		 13 04 Mar 2023 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -24.5, 177.3
          GREEN
          		 14 05 Mar 2023 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -25.6, 179.6
          GREEN
          		 15 05 Mar 2023 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -26.9, -176.6
          GREEN
          		 16 05 Mar 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -27.2, -174.5
          GREEN
          		 16 06 Mar 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -29.3, -168.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Vanuatu 190000 people
          New Caledonia 6700 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Vanuatu Vanuatu 190000 people
          New Caledonia New Caledonia 6700 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Port-Vila Vanuatu Capital 36000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Futuna Island FTA unknown 0
          Aniwa AWD unknown 0
          Tanna Island Tanna TAH unknown 0
          White Grass 6 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
          Mare la Roche MEE 43 Civ. Paved No 3200
          Ipota IPA unknown 0
          Dillons Bay DLY unknown 0
          Wanaham LIF 28 Civ. Paved No 3600
          Lamap LPM unknown 0
          Port Vila Bauerfield VLI 20 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
          Quine Hill UIQ unknown 0
          Emae EAE unknown 0
          Sangafa 2 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Epi EPI unknown 0
          Valesdir VLS unknown 0
          Lamen Bay LNB unknown 0
          Ulei ULB unknown 0
          South West Bay SWJ unknown 0
          Sara SSR unknown 0
          Craig Cove CCV unknown 0
          Redcliffe RCL unknown 0
          Longana LOD unknown 0
          Big Bay GBA unknown 0
          Maewo MWF unknown 0
          Walaha WLH unknown 0
          Santo Pekoa International SON 56 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
          Olpoi Nw Santo OLJ unknown 0
          Torres TOH unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Hunter Island New Caledonia
          Matthew Island New Caledonia
          Aneityum Island Vanuatu
          Tana Island Vanuatu
          We New Caledonia
          Forari Bay Vanuatu
          Port Vila VUVLI Vanuatu
          Ambryn Island Vanuatu
          Port Sandwich VUPSA Vanuatu
          Pentecost Island Vanuatu
          Maewo Island Vanuatu
          Palikoulo Bay Vanuatu
          Santo VUSAN Vanuatu
          Turtle Bay Vanuatu
          Hog Harbor Vanuatu
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Ipota, Vanuatu. This height is estimated for 03 Mar 2023 14:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (162 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 05 Mar 2023 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Mar 2023 14:00 Ipota Vanuatu  0.6
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Isavai Vanuatu  0.5
          03 Mar 2023 15:00 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.5
          03 Mar 2023 14:00 Navolou Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 14:00 Unpongkor Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 14:00 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 14:00 Happy Land Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 15:00 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Lownepina Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 15:00 Ifo Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Laounalang Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Lowkahmal Vanuatu  0.4
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Ireupuow Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 19:00 Mohoun'gha Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 19:00 Ipao Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Isaka Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 White Sands Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Ombous Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Yokopenan Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Imareukak Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Loounemeloupang Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Loounimhapeun Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Waisisi Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Imwareupo Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Yeruareng Vanuatu  0.3
          03 Mar 2023 16:00 Lenakel Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Yerou Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 19:00 Anelghowhat Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Matao Tiupeniu Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Natapao Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 13:00 Rampunalvat Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Epantgouei Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Erakor Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Montmartre Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Loanatom Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 19:00 Umetch Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Nanguile Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 19:00 Isino Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 19:00 Port Patrick Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 10:00 Port-Vila Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Eratap Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Isangel Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Port-Havannah Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Mele Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Epuen Vanuatu  0.2
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Sounai Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Utanlangi Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 11:00 Nekapa Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 11:00 Emua Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 11:00 Laonomoa Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Wousi Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Olo Olo Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Luganville Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Katbol Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 02:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Boloa Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Mangita Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Onesoua Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Marow Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Ebao Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 09:00 Forari Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Wonisule Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Vesalia Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Tasmate Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Ellarmo Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 02:00 Wintua Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Limap Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 02:00 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 05:00 Manpay Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Makatea Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 17:00 Loonelapeun Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Takumuna Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Poullappoe Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Menogoro Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Walpey Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Lolominiou Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Nogugu Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Papoulassemouli Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Losoue Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Tasiriki Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Wailapo Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Saraotou Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Brenwe Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Laravet Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Tavendrua Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Vinmavis Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Norsup Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Lakatoro Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 03:00 Melip Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Roghumbo Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Walaha Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Duin Dui Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lolovele Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Yelowouwou Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Yaotilie Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Ranvetlam Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Linbul Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Olal Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lonbilingdoun Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Fonwor Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 03:00 Meriver Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 03:00 Lamap Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 05:00 Burumba Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 05:00 Valesdir Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 05:00 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 22:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 22:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 22:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 22:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Hokua Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Wora Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Wunpuku Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Pualapa Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Youelapa Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Hog Harbour Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lowarhe Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Longtal Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Coulons Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 18:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Malfakhal Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Walurigi Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lolopuepue Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lowitava Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Fali Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Longang Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Lolowai Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 19:00 Abatabanga Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Faroun Vanuatu  0.1
          02 Mar 2023 20:00 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 03:00 Ponkovia Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 03:00 Lamen Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 05:00 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Malakof Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Moeriou Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 08:00 Leiwoma Vanuatu  0.1
          03 Mar 2023 03:00 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1