Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MADELINE-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MADELINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (20 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 102 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 45000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 17 Sep 2022 21:00 93 No people No people
Green 2 18 Sep 2022 03:00 83 No people No people
Green 3 18 Sep 2022 09:00 83 No people No people
Green 4 18 Sep 2022 15:00 83 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 5 18 Sep 2022 21:00 74 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 6 19 Sep 2022 03:00 93 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 19 Sep 2022 09:00 93 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 19 Sep 2022 15:00 102 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 19 Sep 2022 21:00 93 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 10 20 Sep 2022 03:00 83 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 11 20 Sep 2022 09:00 65 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 12 20 Sep 2022 15:00 56 40 thousand No people Mexico
Green 13 20 Sep 2022 21:00 56 40 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 17 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.9, -106.9
GREEN
2 18 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.9, -106.8
GREEN
3 18 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.7, -106.6
GREEN
4 18 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 45000 people 18.5, -106.9
GREEN
5 18 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.8, -107.4
GREEN
6 19 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19.3, -107.9
GREEN
7 19 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.3, -108.2
GREEN
8 19 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.6, -108.8
GREEN
9 19 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.9, -109.8
GREEN
10 20 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21, -110.8
GREEN
11 20 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.2, -111.3
GREEN
12 20 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.2, -112
GREEN
13 20 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.3, -112.5
GREEN
13 21 Sep 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.4, -113.6
GREEN
13 21 Sep 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.6, -115.1
GREEN
13 22 Sep 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.6, -116.5
GREEN
13 22 Sep 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.4, -117.9
GREEN
13 23 Sep 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.2, -119.5
GREEN
13 23 Sep 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 21, -121.2
GREEN
13 24 Sep 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 20.6, -124.8
GREEN
13 25 Sep 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 20.2, -128
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Jalisco Mexico

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
La Gloria 34 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Ipala Mexico
El Tabaco Mexico
Chamela Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Puerta, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (34 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 20 Sep 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2022 06:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2022 03:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 07:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 07:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 01:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Apisa Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 01:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2022 06:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 05:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 04:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2022 06:00 Altata Mexico  0.1