Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-22
in Mexico
21 Jul 2022 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 56 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      56 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 15 Jul 2022 15:00 157 No people No people
        Green 2 15 Jul 2022 21:00 157 No people No people Mexico
        Green 3 16 Jul 2022 03:00 157 No people No people Mexico
        Green 4 16 Jul 2022 09:00 167 No people No people Mexico
        Green 5 16 Jul 2022 15:00 185 No people No people Mexico
        Green 6 16 Jul 2022 21:00 185 No people No people
        Green 7 17 Jul 2022 03:00 185 No people No people
        Green 8 17 Jul 2022 09:00 185 No people No people
        Green 9 17 Jul 2022 15:00 185 No people No people Mexico
        Green 10 17 Jul 2022 21:00 176 No people No people Mexico
        Green 11 18 Jul 2022 03:00 157 No people No people Mexico
        Green 12 18 Jul 2022 09:00 139 No people No people Mexico
        Green 13 18 Jul 2022 15:00 139 No people No people Mexico
        Green 14 18 Jul 2022 21:00 130 No people No people Mexico
        Green 15 19 Jul 2022 03:00 120 No people No people Mexico
        Green 16 19 Jul 2022 09:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 17 19 Jul 2022 15:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 18 19 Jul 2022 21:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 19 20 Jul 2022 03:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 20 20 Jul 2022 09:00 93 No people No people Mexico
        Green 21 20 Jul 2022 15:00 93 No people No people Mexico
        Green 22 20 Jul 2022 21:00 83 No people No people Mexico
        Green 23 21 Jul 2022 03:00 74 No people No people Mexico
        Green 24 21 Jul 2022 09:00 65 No people No people Mexico
        Green 25 21 Jul 2022 15:00 56 No people No people Mexico
        Green 26 21 Jul 2022 21:00 56 No people No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12, -100.8
          GREEN
          		 2 15 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13, -100.9
          GREEN
          		 3 16 Jul 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.2, -102
          GREEN
          		 4 16 Jul 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.6, -103.1
          GREEN
          		 5 16 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14, -103.7
          GREEN
          		 6 16 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.2, -104.4
          GREEN
          		 7 17 Jul 2022 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.7, -105
          GREEN
          		 8 17 Jul 2022 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 15.1, -105.9
          GREEN
          		 9 17 Jul 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.7, -107.1
          GREEN
          		 10 17 Jul 2022 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 16.1, -107.9
          GREEN
          		 11 18 Jul 2022 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, -108.6
          GREEN
          		 12 18 Jul 2022 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 17.5, -109.8
          GREEN
          		 13 18 Jul 2022 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 18, -111.1
          GREEN
          		 14 18 Jul 2022 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 18.2, -112.5
          GREEN
          		 15 19 Jul 2022 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 18.3, -113.6
          GREEN
          		 16 19 Jul 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.6, -114.7
          GREEN
          		 17 19 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 19, -115.5
          GREEN
          		 18 19 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 19.5, -116.9
          GREEN
          		 19 20 Jul 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.2, -118
          GREEN
          		 20 20 Jul 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.6, -119.4
          GREEN
          		 21 20 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 21.2, -120.7
          GREEN
          		 22 20 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.6, -122.3
          GREEN
          		 23 21 Jul 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.8, -123.2
          GREEN
          		 24 21 Jul 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 22.3, -124.3
          GREEN
          		 25 21 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.7, -125.5
          GREEN
          		 26 21 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.3, -126.5
          GREEN
          		 26 22 Jul 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 22.6, -127.7
          GREEN
          		 26 22 Jul 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 22.9, -129.3
          GREEN
          		 26 23 Jul 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 23.1, -130.7
          GREEN
          		 26 23 Jul 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 23.3, -132
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Baja California Sur Mexico

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Isla Socorro 100 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Clarion Island Mexico
          Roca Partido Island Mexico
          Socorro Island Mexico
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 21 Jul 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)