Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LESTER-22
in Mexico
16 Sep 2022 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone LESTER-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Sep 09:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    17 Sep 2022 18:00 - 18 Sep 2022 06:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 74 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 15 Sep 2022 21:00 93 1.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 2 16 Sep 2022 03:00 93 2 million No people Mexico
        Green 3 16 Sep 2022 09:00 93 2.3 million No people Mexico
        Green 4 16 Sep 2022 15:00 93 1.9 million No people Mexico
        Green 5 16 Sep 2022 21:00 83 1.6 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.7, -95.4
          GREEN
          		 2 16 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -95.8
          GREEN
          		 3 16 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.2, -95.9
          GREEN
          		 4 16 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.7, -96.5
          GREEN
          		 5 16 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9400 people 14.3, -97.3
          GREEN
          		 5 17 Sep 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.2 million people 15.1, -98.4
          GREEN
          		 5 17 Sep 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.5 million people 16.6, -99.9
          GREEN
          		 5 18 Sep 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.1, -101.4 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Oaxaca Mexico
          Guerrero Mexico
          Michoacan Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          San Marcos Guerrero Mexico City 12000 people
          Acapulco Guerrero Mexico Major city 640000 people
          Atoyac Guerrero Mexico City 20000 people
          Tecpan Guerrero Mexico City 14000 people
          Petatlán Guerrero Mexico City 20000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Ta lo de Soto 149 0
          Alvarez International ACA 5 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
          Pie de la Cuesta 6 0
          Ixtapa Zihuatanejo International ZIH 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Puerto Marques Mexico
          Acapulco MXACA Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          El Guineo Nexpa 1985
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Huajapan, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Sep 2022 09:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (79 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 16 Sep 2022 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          17 Sep 2022 09:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.5
          17 Sep 2022 09:00 El Roble Mexico  0.4
          17 Sep 2022 09:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.4
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 14:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 21:00 El Papayo Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 08:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 La Union El Salvador  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.2
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 19:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 16:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 19:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Texas City United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Galveston United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Flake United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Patton United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 12:00 Caplen United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 10:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 10:00 Palacios United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 13:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 07:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 16:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 08:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 09:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 11:00 Majahual Mexico  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 11:00 Surfside United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 11:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
          17 Sep 2022 06:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1