Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for NANMADOL-22 in Japan from 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC to 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	16.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	250 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)
Landfall	between 18 Sep 2022 00:00 - 18 Sep 2022 12:00 in Japan

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	250 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 10.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	167	2.7 million	60 thousand	Japan
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	176	4.4 million	70 thousand	Japan
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	176	14.2 million	690 thousand	Japan
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	176	16 million	640 thousand	Japan
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	185	16.4 million	110 thousand	Japan
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	185	21.7 million	130 thousand	Japan
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	185	35.4 million	12.8 million	Japan
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	194	50.3 million	8.1 million	Japan
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	194	87.4 million	20.7 million	Japan
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	213	127.7 million	18.6 million	Japan
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	185	143.6 million	23.5 million	Japan
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	222	139.6 million	21.4 million	Japan
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	222	131.5 million	53.2 million	Japan
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	213	137.5 million	54.3 million	Japan
15	16 Sep 2022 06:00	222	135.9 million	24.9 million	Japan
16	16 Sep 2022 12:00	213	137.6 million	38 million	Japan
17	16 Sep 2022 18:00	213	138.9 million	39.7 million	Japan
18	17 Sep 2022 00:00	222	144.1 million	34.8 million	Japan
19	17 Sep 2022 06:00	213	142.8 million	33.1 million	Japan
20	17 Sep 2022 12:00	222	146.8 million	19.8 million	Japan
21	17 Sep 2022 18:00	194	143.9 million	29.6 million	Japan
22	18 Sep 2022 00:00	194	143.2 million	10.7 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	21.7, 138.5
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	21.7, 138.5
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.1, 139.2
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	<1000 people	22.5, 139.6
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	22.5, 140.2
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	22.7, 140.4
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	<1000 people	22.9, 140.6
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	<1000 people	22.9, 140.5
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	<1000 people	23.1, 139.8
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	1100 people	23.3, 138.8
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	23.5, 137.9
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	23.4, 137.3
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	2100 people	23.4, 136.4
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	2100 people	23.8, 135.8
15	16 Sep 2022 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	2100 people	24.2, 135.3
16	16 Sep 2022 12:00	Category 4	241	no people	86000 people	24.8, 134.7
17	16 Sep 2022 18:00	Category 4	250	no people	660000 people	25.5, 133.8
18	17 Sep 2022 00:00	Category 4	241	<1000 people	2 million people	26, 133.1
19	17 Sep 2022 06:00	Category 4	241	no people	3.9 million people	26.7, 132.4
20	17 Sep 2022 12:00	Category 4	231	no people	11.7 million people	27.6, 132
21	17 Sep 2022 18:00	Category 4	213	48000 people	16.3 million people	28.5, 131.4
22	18 Sep 2022 00:00	Category 3	194	1.5 million people	29.5 million people	29.7, 131
22	18 Sep 2022 12:00	Category 2	167	5.9 million people	65.7 million people	31.8, 130.4	Japan
22	19 Sep 2022 00:00	Category 1	139	6.3 million people	76.8 million people	33.7, 131	Japan
22	19 Sep 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	112.2 million people	34.7, 133.5	Japan
22	20 Sep 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	104.9 million people	36.1, 137.5	Japan
22	21 Sep 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6.7 million people	39.4, 143.8
22	22 Sep 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	44.2, 149.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Kyushu	Japan
Chugoku	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
O-nejime	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Makurazuki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kanoya	Kagoshima	Japan	City	82000 people
Shibushi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	18000 people
Taniyama	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kagoshima	Kagoshima	Japan	Major city	550000 people
Kokubu	Kagoshima	Japan	City	58000 people
Kajiki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	23000 people
Kamo	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Sendai	Kagoshima	Japan	City	72000 people
Naka-harada	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Hitoyoshi	Kumamoto	Japan	City	38000 people
Yatsushiro	Kumamoto	Japan	City	100000 people
Matsubase	Kumamoto	Japan	City	26000 people
Kumamoto	Kumamoto	Japan	Major city	680000 people
Omuta	Fukuoka	Japan	City	150000 people
Hita	Oita	Japan	City	61000 people
Kurume	Fukuoka	Japan	City	240000 people
Tosu	Saga	Japan	City	63000 people
Takada	Oita	Japan	City	-
Nakatsu	Oita	Japan	City	67000 people
Tagawa	Fukuoka	Japan	City	51000 people
Hzuka	Fukuoka	Japan	City	-
Yukuhashi	Fukuoka	Japan	City	71000 people
Nogata	Fukuoka	Japan	City	62000 people
Kita-kyushu	Fukuoka	Japan	City	1 million people
Ashiya	Fukuoka	Japan	City	-
Ube	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	170000 people
Shimonoseki	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	240000 people
Kudamatsu	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	52000 people
Hirao	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	-
Hofu	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	120000 people
Tokuyama	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	100000 people
Ogori	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	24000 people
Yamaguchi	Yamaguchi	Japan	Major city	140000 people
Imazu	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	-
Kure	Hiroshima	Japan	City	200000 people
Miyajima	Hiroshima	Japan	City	-
Hiromachi	Hiroshima	Japan	City	-
Hiroshima	Hiroshima	Japan	Major city	1.1 million people
Mihara	Hiroshima	Japan	City	79000 people
Onomichi	Hiroshima	Japan	City	89000 people
Fukuyama	Hiroshima	Japan	City	380000 people
Fuchu	Hiroshima	Japan	City	51000 people
Tamashima	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Kurashiki	Okayama	Japan	City	430000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Yakushima	KUM	37	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Tanegashima	TNE	97	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Nishinoomote	IIN	unknown				0
Kanoya		65	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7300
Kagoshima	KOJ	276	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Kumamoto	KMJ	196	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Tsuiki		17	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800
Kita Kyushu	KKJ	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5200
Yamaguchi Ube	UBJ	7	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Ozuki		4	Mil.	Paved	Yes	3900
Hofu		2	Mil.	Paved	No	4800
Iwakuni Mcas		2	Mil.	Paved	Yes	8000
Hiroshima	HIW	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Hiroshima International	HIJ	331	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tokara Island		Japan
Yamagawa		Japan
Makurazaki		Japan
Kiire	JPKII	Japan
Shibushi	JPSBS	Japan
Amamioshima	JPASJ	Japan
Kagoshima	JPKOJ	Japan
Kushikino		Japan
Minamata	JPMIN	Japan
Naga Island		Japan
Kojiro		Japan
Yatsushiro		Japan
Misumi	JPMIS	Japan
Shimabara	JPSMB	Japan
Miike	JPMII	Japan
Omuta	JPOMU	Japan
Nakatsu		Japan
Tabuka		Japan
Yukuhashi		Japan
Kanda	JPKND	Japan
Yawata	JPYWT	Japan
Moji	JPMOJ	Japan
Wakamatsu	JPWAM	Japan
Kokura	JPKOK	Japan
Tobata	JPTBT	Japan
Ube	JPUBJ	Japan
Mutsure	JPMTR	Japan
Shimonoseki	JPSHS	Japan
Hibikinada	JPHBK	Japan
Onoda	JPOND	Japan
Onada		Japan
Hirao	JPHRA	Japan
Hikari	JPHKR	Japan
Nakanoseki	JPNAN	Japan
Kudamatsu	JPKUD	Japan
Shimogo		Japan
Tonda	JPTND	Japan
Tokuyama	JPTKY	Japan
Shiminato	JPIWK	Japan
Kanokawa	JPKKW	Japan
Etajima	JPETA	Japan
Kure	JPKRE	Japan
Akitsu	JPAKT	Japan
Hiroshima	JPHIJ	Japan
Omishima	JPOMS	Japan
Takehara	JPTHR	Japan
Innoshima	JPINS	Japan
Onomichi-Itozaki		Japan
Itozaki	JPITO	Japan
Onomichi	JPONO	Japan
Kasaoka	JPKSA	Japan
Matsunaga	JPMNG	Japan
Fukuyama	JPFKY	Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Saikyo	Saikyo	Matanobugawa	1984
Osumiko	Takakuma	Kushiragawa	1968
Takeyama	Takeyama	Usonokigawa	1986
Otsuruko	Tsuruda	Sendaigawa	1965
Kogawa	Kogawa	Kogawa	1973
Uchitani	Uchitani	Itsukiogawa	1975
Kyoragi	Kyoragi	Iwaiguchigawa	1975
Higomidorikawako	Midorikawa	Midorikawa	1970
Fukasako	Fukasako	Fukasakogawa	1974
Hachinosuko	Shimouke	Tsuegawa	1972
Amagatanichosuichi	Jizobaru	Jizobarugawa	1922
Hyugami	Hyugami	Yabegawa	1959
Gosho	Gosho	Chikugogawa	1990
Hiju	Hiju	Hijugawa	1968
Minagiko	Terauchi	Sadagawa	1979
Yabakeiko	Yabakei	Yamautsurigawa	1984
Kamiakizukiko	Egawa	Koishiharagawa	1972
Aburagi	Aburagi	Imagawa	1971
Kuboshiro	Kuboshiro	Kubokawa	1971
Rikimaru	Rikimaru	Yakiyamagawa	1965
Masubuchichosuichi	Masubuchi	Murasakigawa	1973
Hatachosuichi	Hata	Kurokawa	1955
Tondadaiichichosuichi	Tondadaiichi		1968
Tondadaini	Tondadaini		1960
Mannenike	Mannenike		1963
Ubemaruyama	Ubemaruyama	Yakushigawa	1978
Onoko	Kotogawa	Kotogawa	1948
Beisenko	Suetakegawa	Suetakegawa	1991
Nukumi	Nukumi	Suetakegawa	1963
Kikukawako	Kawakami	Tondagawa	1979
Kodoko	Kodo	Nishikigawa	1940
Suganoko	Sugano	Nishikigawa	1965
Takaseko	Shimajigawa	Shimajigawa	1981
Miyakono	Aratani	Fushinogawa	1987
Oharako	Sabagawa	Sabagawa	1955
Yasakako	Yasaka	Ozegawa	1990
Shinjuko	Ozegawa	Ozegawa	1964
Watanosechosuichi	Watanose	Kujimagawa	1956
Honjo	Honjo	Nikogawa	1917
Iiyamachosuichi	Iinoyama	Ozegawa	1932
Soryuko	Uokiri	Yahatagawa	1981
Kurose	Kurose	Kagaragawa	1987
Namitakijiike	Namitakijiike	Kurosegawa	1944
Nabarachosuichi	Nabara	Nabaragawa	1976
Myojinchosuichi	Myojin	Nabaragawa	1976
Hakuryuko	Mukunashi	Mukunashigawa	1968
Hisayamadasuigenchi	Hisayamada	Kuribaragawa	1924
Seiryuko	Mitsugi	Mitsugigawa	1988
Yachiyoko	Haji	Enokawa	1973
Shinnoko	Mikawa	Ashidagawa	1974
Hattorioike	Hattorioike	Hattorigawa	1931
Osakaike	Osakaike	Osakagawa	1965
			1968

Nuclear plants

Name	Country	Reactors
SENDAI	JAPAN	2

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.