Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EARL-22
in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Anguilla, Virgin Islands British, Antigua and Barbuda, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
03 Sep 2022 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone EARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Anguilla, Virgin Islands British, Antigua and Barbuda, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Sep 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Montserrat)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 690000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Sep 2022 03:00 83 620 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S.
        Green 2 03 Sep 2022 09:00 102 660 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S.
        Green 3 03 Sep 2022 15:00 111 690 thousand No people Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands British, Montserrat, Virgin Islands U.S., Guadeloupe

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 260000 people 18.4, -60.3
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 590000 people 18.7, -61.4
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 380000 people 19, -62.4
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Sep 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 200000 people 19.5, -63.6
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people 20.3, -65
          GREEN
          		 3 05 Sep 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21, -65.7
          GREEN
          		 3 05 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.8, -66.3
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Sep 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.7, -66.6
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24, -66.6
          GREEN
          		 3 07 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.3, -65.9
          GREEN
          		 3 08 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 27, -64.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Anguilla
          Antigua & Barbuda
          St. Kitts & Nevis
          British Virgin Is.
          Montserrat
          Virgin Is.
          Guadeloupe

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Anguilla Anguilla
          Antigua & Barbuda Antigua and Barbuda
          St. Kitts & Nevis Saint Kitts and Nevis
          British Virgin Is. Virgin Islands British
          Montserrat Montserrat
          Virgin Is. Virgin Islands U.S.
          Guadeloupe Guadeloupe

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          The Valley Anguilla Capital 1400 people
          Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles City 6400 people
          Gustavia Guadeloupe City -
          Basseterre St. Kitts and Nevis Capital 13000 people
          Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis City <1000 people
          Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis City 1500 people
          Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda Capital 22000 people
          Road Town British Virgin Islands Capital 8300 people
          Plymouth Saint Anthony Montserrat Capital no people
          Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands Capital 10000 people
          Moule Guadeloupe City -
          Pointe-à-Pitre Guadeloupe City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Wallblake AXA 33 Civ. Paved Yes 3600
          Grand Case CCE 2 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Prinses Juliana SXM 4 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
          St. Barthelemy SBH unknown Civ. Paved No 2100
          Barbuda Codrington BBQ unknown 0
          F D Roosevelt EUX 38 Civ. Paved Yes 4200
          Golden Rock SKB 52 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
          Newcastle NEV 8 Civ. Paved No 4000
          Anegada NGD unknown 0
          North Sound Virgin Gorda NSX unknown 0
          V C Bird International ANU 19 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
          Virgin Gorda VIJ 4 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
          Beef Island EIS 5 Civ. Paved Yes 3600
          Montserrat Blackburne MNI unknown 0
          W H Bramble (Abandoned) 12 0
          St. John SJF unknown 0
          Cruz Bay unknown 0
          Stouffer Grand Beach Resort 38 0
          Frenchman's Reef 6 0
          Christiansted Harbor- SSB unknown 0
          H.S. Truman STT 5 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
          Benjamin Rivera Noriega CPX 15 0
          Le Raizet PTP 11 Civ. Paved Yes 11400
          St. Francois SFC unknown 0
          La Desirade Les Galets DSD unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Blowing Point AIBLP Anguilla
          Marigot Guadeloupe
          Philipsburg ANPHI Netherlands Antilles
          Gustavia GPGUS Guadeloupe
          Barbuda AGBBQ Antigua and Barbuda
          Oranjestad Netherlands Antilles
          Basseterre KNBAS Saint Kitts and Nevis
          Anegada Island British Virgin Islands
          Charlestown KNNEV Saint Kitts and Nevis
          Parham Harbour Antigua and Barbuda
          Saint Johns AGSJO Antigua and Barbuda
          Virgin Gorda Island British Virgin Islands
          Road Harbour & Port Purcell British Virgin Islands
          Plymouth Montserrat
          Cruz Bay Virgin Islands
          Charlotte Amalie VISTT Virgin Islands
          Christiansted VICTD Virgin Islands
          Port Louis Guadeloupe
          Culebra Puerto Rico
          Pointe-a-Pitre GPPTP Guadeloupe
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 04 Sep 2022 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (193 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 03 Sep 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          04 Sep 2022 07:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 East End Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Cujizal Venezuela  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Palencia Venezuela  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Caduto Venezuela  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 05:00 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 05:00 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Puerto Zazarida Venezuela  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 23:00 Jagueicito Venezuela  0.2
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Urlings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Contant Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Cuajaracume Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Cauca Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Codore Adentro Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Ocorote Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Rio Seco Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Algodones Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 La Ensenada Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 El Toro Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 14:00 West End Village Anguilla  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 14:00 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 16:00 The Valley Anguilla  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 14:00 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 14:00 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 14:00 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Gustavia Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 San Isidro Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 16:00 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Benner Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Zazarida Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Arajo Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 23:00 Cayude Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 La Caroa Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 La Ceiba Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 El Pueblito Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 La Raya Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Santa Rosa Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Port-Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 15:00 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Oranjestad Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Newton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Saint Paul's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Sandy Point St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Half Way Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Dieppe Bay Town St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Middle Island St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Saddlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Challengers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Trinity St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Tabernacle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Phillips St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Boyd's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Mansion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Molineux St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Lodge St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Ottley's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Basseterre St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Canyon St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 13:00 Keys St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Fountain St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Taylors Pleasure St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Hanley's Road St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Hick's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Zion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Brink Kiln St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 New River St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 10:00 Butlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 06:00 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 05:00 Baie-Mahault Guadeloupe  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 San Pedro de Coche Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 La Uva Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Caimancito Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Guamache Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Puerto Gutierrez Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Los Hatos Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Caujarito Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Matacan Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 20:00 Dibe Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Cacandee Settlement Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Tiguajada Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Nelson's Spring St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Cotton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Jessup's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Westbury St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Old Town Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Olveston Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Elberton Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Saint Peter's Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Woodlands Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Salem Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Weekes Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Firth Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Cud Joe Head Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Davy Hill Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 08:00 Plymouth Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Molyneaux Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Saint John's Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Windy Hill Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Lookout Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Blakes Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Tuitts Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Bramble Village Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Long Ground Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 04:00 Bethnal Montserrat  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 07:00 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 19:00 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 20:00 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 18:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 El Morro de Barcelona Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Barcelona Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Puerto la Cruz Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 El Chaure Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 23:00 Arapo Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 23:00 Santa Fe Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Tomoporo de Agua Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Tomoporo de Tierra Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 San Timoteo Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Moporo Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 La Ceibita Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 El Mamon Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Ariota Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Adaro Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 El Cardon Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 22:00 Punta Cardon Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Punto Fijo Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Las Piedras Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Palmarito Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 San Mateo Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 San Benito Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 La Trinidad Venezuela  0.1
          03 Sep 2022 21:00 Santa Ana Venezuela  0.1