Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico
30 May 2022 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (31 May 01:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    30 May 2022 12:00 - 31 May 2022 00:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 220000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
        Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico
        Orange 3 28 May 2022 15:00 157 3.9 million 270 thousand Mexico
        Orange 4 28 May 2022 21:00 167 4.2 million 210 thousand Mexico
        Orange 5 29 May 2022 03:00 157 2.9 million 150 thousand Mexico
        Orange 6 29 May 2022 09:00 148 3.3 million 190 thousand Mexico
        Orange 7 29 May 2022 15:00 176 3.7 million 350 thousand Mexico
        Red 8 29 May 2022 21:00 194 2.9 million 200 thousand Mexico
        Red 9 30 May 2022 03:00 194 3.6 million 220 thousand Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
          GREEN
          		 2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
          GREEN
          		 3 28 May 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.2, -98.4
          GREEN
          		 4 28 May 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.8, -98.1
          GREEN
          		 5 29 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.9, -98.7
          GREEN
          		 6 29 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -98.8
          GREEN
          		 7 29 May 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.1, -99
          GREEN
          		 8 29 May 2022 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 14.1, -98.7
          GREEN
          		 9 30 May 2022 03:00 Category 2 176 no people 290000 people 14.5, -98.2
          RED
          		 9 30 May 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 110000 people 1.6 million people 14.9, -97.4
          RED
          		 9 31 May 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 200000 people 2.5 million people 15.6, -96.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 31 May 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2.2 million people 16.7, -95.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 01 Jun 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.6, -94.4 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Oaxaca Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people
          Ciudad Ixtepec Oaxaca Mexico City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Pochutla PUH unknown 0
          Bahias de Huatulco International HUX 143 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
          Ixtepec IZT unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Puerto Angel Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Presidente Benito Juarez Tehuantepec 1961
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Loma Larga, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2022 01:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (21 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 29 May 2022 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          31 May 2022 01:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.4
          31 May 2022 00:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.4
          31 May 2022 01:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 03:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 04:00 Mirador Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 03:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 06:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
          30 May 2022 23:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
          28 May 2022 21:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 00:00 Coyote Mexico  0.1
          30 May 2022 20:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
          30 May 2022 20:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
          30 May 2022 20:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 13:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 13:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1