Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-19
in Japan

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000580
From - To 01 Aug - 07 Aug
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h, Category 2
Maximum storm surge 1 m (06 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)


For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
+ Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS 157 km/h 1 m n.a. 1.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 158 km/h 1.6 m 0 mm 0.5
GFS 238 km/h 3.4 m 0 mm 2.5
ECMWF 162 km/h 2.1 m 0 mm 0.5
Beta Version - All weather systems in the area: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Japan, South Korea, Democratic People's Republic of Korea - Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO (ECHO 05 Aug 2019)Mon, 05 Aug 2019 13:04

  • Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO is forecast to make landfall on 5 August over the eastern coast of Kyushu Island, close to Hyuga City (Miyazaki Prefecture) as a tropical storm before continuing  north-northwest towards South Korea.
  • Over the next 24 hours, heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over Kyushu Island and Shikoku Island. The Japan Meteorological Agency has issued a warning for high waves over coastal areas of Kochi and Ehime prefectures.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2015. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: JRC (57), (2), BOM (1), JTWC (1), NASA (1), NOAA (1), OCHA (1), TRMM (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),