Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (27 Oct 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.7 m 63 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico27,896 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 25 Oct 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 25 Oct 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Oct 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Oct 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 26 Oct 2021 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 249 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 25 Oct 2021 06:00 215 180 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 25 Oct 2021 12:00 81 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 25 Oct 2021 18:00 59 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 26 Oct 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 26 Oct 2021 06:00 363 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Holly Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2021 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Holly Beach United States  0.7
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Cameron United States  0.7
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Constance Beach United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 19:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 19:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.6
27 Oct 2021 18:30 Sabine United States  0.4
27 Oct 2021 18:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.4
28 Oct 2021 20:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Beach City United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Smith Point United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Oak Island United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:45 Anahuac United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Cedar Point United States  0.3
28 Oct 2021 20:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 17:30 High Island United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Red Bluff United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Seabrook United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Morgan Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Baytown United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 15:00 Pelly United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Sixmile United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Point Comfort United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Olivia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Weedhaven United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Port Alto United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Palacios United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Collegeport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Simpsonville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 13:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
28 Oct 2021 20:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Caplen United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:15 Gilchrist United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 03:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 03:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Estes United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:30 Lamar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 23:30 El Martillo United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 23:30 Yarborough United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 16:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
28 Oct 2021 20:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 16:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 16:45 Patton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 06:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Webster United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Kilkare United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Lakeside United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 La Porte United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 El Lago United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Kemah United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Shoreacres United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Todville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Bayview United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 Bacliff United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 14:00 San Leon United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 04:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 07:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 16:30 Flake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 16:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 16:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 17:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 17:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 08:30 Galveston United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
28 Oct 2021 20:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 06:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
28 Oct 2021 00:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
28 Oct 2021 06:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 06:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Maudlowe United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Tivoli United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Spanish Village United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:15 Austwell United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 08:45 Indianola United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 08:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 11:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 11:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 02:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 10:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:15 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 16:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 16:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 20:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 22:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 17:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Portland United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 17:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Quintana United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Surfside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Mims United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 11:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 06:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 07:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 15:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 14:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 07:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
28 Oct 2021 07:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1